Simulation from Nuclear Proliferation
North Korean Nuclear Threat (NSC)

Roles

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The president is the head of state and commander in chief of the U.S. Armed Forces. They preside over National Security Council (NSC) meetings and listens to the advice and information presented by others. The president is not expected to be an expert on any single subject, but instead draws on the expertise of the NSC to analyze options and choose what they feel is the best policy to advance U.S. interests.

The president’s goals are to

- select one or more policy options after considering the opinions and recommendations of NSC members; and
- balance and promote U.S. interests, with an eye toward both immediate goals and long-term foreign policy strategy.

Issues for Consideration

  • How does North Korea, and particularly the situation presented in this case, threaten U.S. national security? 
  • What U.S. interests are at stake in this crisis? How should they be prioritized?
  • What is the nature of the U.S.-North Korea relationship? How does this inform U.S. action in this case?
  • What is the U.S. relationship with other parties relevant to this case, especially China, Japan, and South Korea? How does this affect the proposed U.S. policy options? 
  • What are the costs, benefits, and risks that accompany each policy option open to the United States? 
  • What are the trade-offs raised by the potential policy options in this case? 
  • What are the positions and interests of other countries and organizations that have a stake in North Korea’s nuclear proliferation? How, if at all, might they affect the current situation? 

The vice president must be ready at a moment’s notice to assume the presidency if the commander in chief is unable to perform their duties. Vice presidents can play a relatively active role on the National Security Council (NSC), serving as a general advisor and freely advocating their own positions during meetings. In particular, the president may ask the vice president to serve as an independent voice, untethered to any of the agencies represented by other NSC participants. The president may also ask about the interaction between the issue at hand and the domestic political situation, including in Congress.

The vice president’s goals are to

- provide advice to the president on any topic, including those overlooked by other NSC participants; and
- understand the range of views in Congress and work to build congressional and public support for the president’s chosen approach.

Issues for Consideration

  • How does North Korea, and particularly the situation presented in this case, threaten U.S. national security? 
  • What U.S. interests are at stake in this crisis? How should they be prioritized?
  • What is the nature of the U.S.-North Korea relationship? How does this inform U.S. action in this case?
  • What are the costs, benefits, and risks that accompany each policy option open to the United States? 
  • How, if at all, would the White House need to work with Congress to execute any of the proposed policy options in this case? How might congressional attitudes towards North Korea, nuclear proliferation, and other interests in East Asia influence the U.S. response to the situation in North Korea? 
  • How do the media and public opinion affect U.S. policy toward North Korea?

The national security advisor (NSA) has a special role in crisis management, serving as the “honest broker” for the national security policy process. Although the president makes final decisions, the NSA is responsible for ensuring that they have all the necessary information, that a full range of viable policy options has been articulated, that the prospects for success and failure have been identified, that any legal issues have been addressed, and that all members of the National Security Council (NSC) have had the opportunity to contribute.

The national security advisor’s goals are to

- facilitate the president’s consideration of issues by keeping the NSC discussion on track and guiding it toward concrete policy options; and
- build trust as an honest broker among the other NSC participants.

Issues for Consideration

  • How does North Korea, and particularly the situation presented in this case, threaten U.S. national security? 
  • What U.S. interests are at stake in this crisis? How should they be prioritized?
  • Where does a North Korean nuclear weapon capable of reaching North America fit into the broader context of national security concerns facing the United States?
  • What are the costs, benefits, and risks that accompany each policy option open to the United States? 
  • What are the most important factors for the president to balance when making a decision? What information would be most useful for other members of the National Security Council to present?
  • What past examples, if any, exist of the U.S. policy options presented in this case? How might these examples inform U.S. action toward North Korea?

The chief of staff oversees the Executive Office of the President, which provides the president with support to govern effectively. This post has traditionally been home to many of the president’s closest advisors. In National Security Council (NSC) meetings, the chief of staff ensures that the president has the necessary analysis on the full range of factors relevant to the case, including the U.S. political situation. They also guide the process of implementing and communicating presidential decisions.

The chief of staff’s goals are to

- highlight the domestic implications of U.S. foreign policy choices; and
- develop strategies to carry out the president's policy and communicate it to U.S. and international audiences.

Issues for Consideration

  • How does North Korea, and particularly the situation presented in this case, threaten U.S. national security? 
  • What U.S. interests are at stake in this crisis? How should they be prioritized? How should they influence a U.S. response? 
  • What are the costs, benefits, and risks that accompany each policy option open to the United States? 
  • How, if at all, would the White House need to work with Congress to execute any of the proposed policy options in this case? How might congressional attitudes towards North Korea, nuclear proliferation, and other interests in East Asia influence the U.S. response to the situation in North Korea? 
  • How do the media and public opinion affect U.S. policy toward North Korea?
  • What are North Korea’s likely reactions to various U.S. policy options? How might these reactions influence the effectiveness, as well as the domestic political impact, of the chosen U.S. approach?

The Department of State maintains the U.S. diplomatic presence around the world, conducting foreign relations and using an on-the-ground perspective to generate country-specific knowledge. As head of the department, the secretary draws on this knowledge to present an authoritative view of the United States’ bilateral relationships, the relationships between foreign countries, and the behavior and interests of foreign governments.

The secretary of state’s goals are to

- serve as the president’s principal foreign policy advisor; and
- analyze how policy options will affect the interests, reputation, and relationships of the United States.

Issues for Consideration

  • How does North Korea, and particularly the situation presented in this case, threaten U.S. national security? 
  • What U.S. interests are at stake in this crisis? How should they be prioritized?
  • What is the nature of the U.S.-North Korea relationship? How does this inform U.S. action in this case?
  • How many U.S. diplomatic personnel and U.S. citizens live in South Korea, Japan, and other neighbors of North Korea? How should their presence affect the U.S. policy decision in this case?
  • What is the U.S. relationship with other parties relevant to this case, especially China, Japan, and South Korea? How does this affect the proposed U.S. policy options? How would various U.S. responses affect these countries’ perception of American leadership?
  • What are the costs, benefits, and risks that accompany each policy option open to the United States? 

The secretary of defense is the principal defense policy advisor to the president, under whose direction they exercise authority over the Department of Defense. In National Security Council (NSC) meetings, the secretary analyzes the security situation in the relevant region and explains the likely implications of U.S. military involvement, both for the immediate crisis and for the United States’ overall strategic position.

The secretary of defense’s goals are to

- understand the options for and feasibility of any military action, as well as its possible outcomes; and
- identify ways to prevent the deterioration of a crisis to the point where it mandates U.S. military intervention.

Issues for Consideration

  • How does North Korea, and particularly the situation presented in this case, threaten U.S. national security? 
  • How many U.S. military personnel are stationed in South Korea, Japan, and other neighbors of North Korea? How should their presence affect the U.S. policy decision in this case?
  • What military capabilities does the United States possess to conduct air strikes against North Korea? What do we know about how effective air strikes might be in destroying facilities related to North Korea’s nuclear and missile programs? How should this assessment affect consideration of U.S. policy options?
  • What is the state of military relationships among the United States and other countries involved in this case, which include China, Russia, South Korea, and Japan? What is the likelihood that any of these countries would be willing or able to assist the United States with the military dimensions of certain policy options in this case?
  • What are the costs, benefits, and risks that accompany each policy option open to the United States? 

The attorney general is the head of the Department of Justice and the chief lawyer of the U.S. government. The department represents the United States in legal matters, including by prosecuting violations of federal law. In National Security Council (NSC) meetings, the attorney general gives the president advice and opinions on the legal aspects of policies under consideration.

The Attorney General’s goals are to

- consider the legal elements and implications of U.S. foreign policy options; and
- ensure that any policies decided by the NSC are in compliance with domestic and international law.

Issues for Consideration

  • How does North Korea, and particularly the situation presented in this case, threaten U.S. national security? 
  • What U.S. interests are at stake in this crisis? How should they be prioritized?
  • What are the legal considerations surrounding the various U.S. policy options in this case?  What are the roles of the president and Congress on this issue?
  • What kind of legal backing, such as congressional legislation or UN Security Council resolutions, might be useful or necessary for any U.S. policy response to North Korea in this case?
  • What is the role of the International Atomic Energy Agency in the international nonproliferation regime? What legal authority does it have in dealing with North Korea in this case?

The chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff (CJCS) is the highest-ranking member of the U.S. military and the principal military advisor to the president, the secretary of defense, the National Security Council (NSC), and the Homeland Security Council. The CJCS does not exercise command authority over U.S. troops. Instead, they work with the heads of the U.S. military services to provide advice to the president and other senior leaders.

The CJCS’s goals are to

- serve as the president’s military advisor on the NSC; and
- advise the president on specific military options and the corresponding risks, benefits, and implications.

Issues for Consideration

  • How does North Korea, and particularly the situation presented in this case, threaten U.S. national security? 
  • What U.S. interests are at stake in this crisis? How should they be prioritized?
  • What are the costs, benefits, and risks that accompany each policy option open to the United States? 
  • How many U.S. military personnel are stationed in South Korea, Japan, and other neighbors of North Korea? How should their presence affect the U.S. policy decision in this case?
  • What military capabilities does the United States possess to conduct air strikes against North Korea? What do we know about how effective air strikes might be in destroying facilities related to North Korea’s nuclear and missile programs?
  • What is the state of the North Korean armed forces and North Korea’s nuclear and missile capabilities? 

The secretary of energy leads the Department of Energy, which carries out U.S. policy on energy, environmental, and nuclear issues. In National Security Council (NSC) meetings, the secretary must consider the energy-related dimensions of foreign policy issues, any energy-related tools that might form part of the U.S. response, and the implications of policy decisions for the American energy supply and environment.

The secretary of energy’s goals are to

-formulate and evaluate energy-related measures as part of policy options; and
-gauge the implications of foreign policy decisions on U.S. energy security and environmental concerns.

Issues for Consideration

  • How does North Korea, and particularly the situation presented in this case, threaten U.S. national security? 
  • What U.S. interests are at stake in this crisis? How should they be prioritized?
  • What are the costs, benefits, and risks that accompany each policy option open to the United States? 
  • What are the positions and interests of other countries and organizations that have a stake in North Korea’s nuclear proliferation? How, if at all, might they affect the current situation? 
  • What is the role of the International Atomic Energy Agency in the international nonproliferation regime? What legal authority does it have in dealing with North Korea in this case?

The Department of the Treasury carries out policy on issues related to the U.S. and global economies and financial systems. The secretary of the treasury, as head of this department, serves as one of the president’s chief economic advisors. In National Security Council (NSC) meetings, they analyze the economic dimensions of foreign policy issues and weigh the potential impact of policy options on U.S. economic concerns, including growth, trade and investment, and the position of the U.S. dollar.

The secretary of the treasury’s goals are to

- serve as a senior presidential advisor on economic policy; and
- determine how foreign policy options might affect the U.S. economy and financial system, the global economy, and economic relations between the United States and others.

Issues for Consideration

  • How does North Korea, and particularly the situation presented in this case, threaten U.S. national security? 
  • What U.S. interests are at stake in this crisis? How should they be prioritized?
  • What are the costs, benefits, and risks that accompany each policy option open to the United States? 
  • How does the situation in North Korea as presented in this case threaten the U.S. economy and the economies of U.S. allies? How would possible outcomes, such as a North Korean attack on the United States, affect U.S. and allied economies? 
  • What are the chief characteristics of North Korea’s economy? What economic ties does North Korea have with the United States, South Korea, and China, and how do those economic ties—or lack thereof—affect North Korea’s strategic interests? 
  • What has the role of sanctions been in current and historical U.S. policy toward North Korea? What are the costs, benefits, and risks of imposing further sanctions in response to North Korea’s new capabilities?

The role of the U.S. permanent representative to the United Nations (UN) is to advance U.S. foreign policy interests in the bodies and forums of the UN system. Reporting to the secretary of state, the permanent representative helps formulate and articulate the U.S. position on all political and security matters under discussion at the UN. At National Security Council (NSC) meetings, they outline policy steps available to the United States at the UN and advises NSC participants on the positions and actions of other UN member states.

The U.S. permanent representative to the UN’s goals are to

- advise the president and secretary of state on the diplomatic actions the United States can or should take at the UN; and
- promote the United States’ interests and values at the UN.

Issues for Consideration

  • How does North Korea, and particularly the situation presented in this case, threaten U.S. national security? 
  • What U.S. interests are at stake in this crisis? How should they be prioritized? 
  • What are the costs, benefits, and risks that accompany each policy option open to the United States? 
  • What position do UN member states, particularly those on the UN Security Council, take on North Korea’s nuclear ambitions? How are these governments likely to react to various policy responses by the United States? How should the United States take these views into account when deliberating its policy options?
  • What has been the role of the United Nations and its component parts in dealing with North Korea? What has this role been in dealing with nuclear proliferation in other countries? What role could or should the United Nations play in addressing the current crisis?
  • Which of the proposed policy options might require or benefit from a UN Security Council resolution? How important is it for the United States to secure such a resolution for any action it takes in response to North Korea?

The U.S. intelligence community consists of seventeen agencies and organizations that gather and analyze intelligence to help policymakers formulate and implement U.S. foreign policy. The director of national intelligence oversees this network of agencies. They focus on providing the latest relevant information to National Security Council (NSC) members and articulating the capabilities and interests of the intelligence community.

The director of national intelligence’s goals are to

- provide complete, accurate, and up-to-date information to the NSC on the situation under discussion; and
- serve as the principal advisor to the president and the NSC on intelligence matters.

Issues for Consideration

  • How does North Korea, and particularly the situation presented in this case, threaten U.S. national security? 
  • What U.S. interests are at stake in this crisis? How should they be prioritized?
  • What are the costs, benefits, and risks that accompany each policy option open to the United States? 
  • What is the current state of the North Korean armed forces and North Korea’s nuclear and missile capabilities? How reliable is this assessment?
  • What are the primary interests, motivations, and goals of the major actors in this crisis? What factors drive their potential responses to it?
  • What past examples, if any, exist of the U.S. policy options presented in this case? How might these examples inform U.S. action toward North Korea?

The general advisor offers analysis and recommendations that are unconstrained by the interests of any department or agency. They are tasked with providing a comprehensive assessment of the situation at hand and ideas for policy options that serve U.S. interests.

The general advisor’s goals are to

- understand the breadth of the issue and outline its stakes for the United States; and
- advise the president on the range of policy options proposed by all NSC members.

Issues for Consideration

  • How does North Korea, and particularly the situation presented in this case, threaten U.S. national security? 
  • What U.S. interests are at stake in this crisis? How should they be prioritized?
  • What is the nature of the U.S.-North Korea relationship? How, if at all, does the United States typically interact with North Korea, and how does this inform U.S. action in this case?
  • What is the U.S. relationship with other parties relevant to this case, especially China, Japan, and South Korea? How does this affect the proposed U.S. policy options? 
  • What are the costs, benefits, and risks that accompany each policy option open to the United States? 
  • What past examples, if any, exist of the U.S. policy options presented in this case? How might these examples inform U.S. action toward North Korea?