Hurricane in the Caribbean Mini Simulation Activity

Session One (Setting the Stage/NSC and Case Background)

1. (15 Minutes) Introduction to the National Security Council (NSC): This will build students' background knowledge on U.S. Foreign Policy and the NSC. As a class, view the following two videos:
   1. Watch: CFR Education | What is the National Security Council? (2:28)
   2. Watch: CFR Education | Global Climate Change Policy Case Study (2:11)
   3. Reflect: Ask students to reflect on the NSC’s importance as a decision making tool. Students might also answer the following questions as written thought prompts: How is climate policy tied to U.S. Foreign Policy? Why might climate change be considered a national security issue? In other words, why might the NSC choose to address the issue of climate change in a meeting? Thinking on examples from your own life, what other aspects of climate change might pose a threat to national security?
   4. Discuss: Ask students to share their responses with the class. End the discussion by noting that multiple presidential administrations have devoted attention to the wide-ranging implications of climate change on U.S. national security.
2. (5 Minutes) Assign Case Roles: In advance of the simulation, assign each student a role from the attached list (above). Each student should read the description and goals of their role. This will be the lens through which they engage in the simulation as a member of the NSC. Tell them to consider their assigned role during the next step.
3. (20 Minutes) Overview and The Situation: Hurricane in the Caribbean: Students will watch and reflect on the following video.
   1. Watch: The Economist | "Climate Change MIgrants: What Can Be Done?" (10:26)
   2. Reflect: Ask students to reflect on the relationship between climate change and human migration, paying specific attention to the ramifications of climate change for communities around the world. Students should also use this time to discuss the benefits and challenges of preparing for—and effectively managing—climate migration. Students may work individually or in small groups. End the reflection period with the question: Should wealthy countries care about climate migration in the developing world? Why or why not?
4. (15 Minutes) Policy Options: As a class, read the Overview, The Situation, and Decision Point sections from the CFR Education Mini Simulation - Hurricane in the Caribbean. Policy options consist of the following; however, students should feel free to suggest alternate policy options that respond to concerns raised in the mini simulation:
   1. Provide support for migrants fleeing the island.
   2. Support climate adaptation efforts.
   3. Offer short-term disaster relief assistance.
5. (5 min) Conclusion: End class by providing students with a brief description of the simulation role play. Ensure students understand that each student will be required to participate in the simulation and that preparation will be key to the simulation’s success. Emphasize the utility of the evening’s homework (below) in helping students prepare.

Session Homework: Students will read through the linked CFR Education climate resources on extreme weather, displacement, and inequality. After completing these readings, have students write a brief position memo (less than one page) that identifies which policy option they support, bears in mind their assigned role, and defends their choice using factual information from the readings.

Session One Instructor Notes:

• If a class is larger than 15 students, you may consider breaking your class into multiple National Security Councils and running the groups simultaneously. This will afford an opportunity following the simulation for students to discuss their various responses and explain why one group may have chosen a policy option that is different from another group’s choice.
• Students may use CFR Education’s How to Write a Position Memo to help draft their homework. This resource includes an NSC Sample Position Memo that students might use as a template.

Session Two: (CFR Education Mini Simulation - Solar Engineering)

1. (5 Minutes): Introduction: As students enter the classroom, have them sit in a circular arrangement. Remind students of the day’s schedule and provide an additional reminder that everyone is expected to participate.
2. (45 Minutes): CFR Education Mini Simulation - Hurricane in the Caribbean: While timing will vary based on classroom variables like class size and length, it is recommended to use one full class period for this simulation. A detailed organizational plan for simulation runtime can be found below.
3. (10 Minutes): Debrief: Provide students an opportunity to reflect (either individually or as a class) on their simulation experience. Questions to ask may include:
   1. What decisions did you reach?
   2. What did you think about the president’s decision as your character?
   3. What do you think about the president’s decision individually (as yourself)?
   4. What new insights do you have into: climate change/climate refugees/climate adaptation/the operation of the National Security Council/the challenges of reaching consensus on policy?
   5. What challenges did you expect (or not expect) while playing the simulation? How did you overcome these challenges?
   6. What skills did you use while playing out the simulation?
   7. What is your biggest takeaway from this experience?

Session Two Instructor Notes:

• The focus of this mini simulation will be the work done during the prior class session with a particular focus on the Mini Simulation document
• In general, the National Security Advisor role is taken on by the teacher as it is the facilitator role—responsible for managing the discussion and the clock. In a larger classroom with multiple discussions happening at once, instructors should assign students to the role of National Security Advisor and be prepared to facilitate concurrent debates.
• The role of the President requires close work with the National Security Advisor. Their goal is to ask clarifying questions as needed. This role could be set aside for a stronger, more enthusiastic classroom leader (to encourage them to listen and synthesize notes) or for a more reluctant student that the National Security Advisor could support. In general, the president is most active during Round Three, where they will be asked for their final decision based on the options presented.
  Use the chart (below) to guide the discussion and debate for the CFR Education Simulation.

Session Two Homework

Students should write a brief Policy Review Memo following the simulation. This reflection should be approximately 1-2 pages in length. The memo should include:

• Summary of the issue
• Analysis of the options discussed
• Recommendation for which policy option is best
• Reflection/ Connection - This section is intended to encourage civic action or awareness about the issue. Students should consider ways in which their own community might respond to the issue.  In this case, prompts might include: Why is climate change such an important issue? In what ways have you seen climate change and climate-related migration discussed locally or nationwide? What role should the United States play in addressing this issue? Why? Inform students that this reflection section should be brief and considered a starting point for further civic engagement.